Producer Price Index (PPI) (Producer Inflation)
Producer Price Index (PPI): Inflation’s Early Warning System
PPI measures price changes at the producer level, making it a leading indicator for consumer inflation.
Why PPI Matters
When production costs rise, businesses eventually pass those costs to consumers.
PPI vs CPI
- PPI leads inflation trends
- CPI confirms consumer impact
When PPI Becomes Critical
- Supply chain disruptions
- Commodity price spikes
- Recession transitions
PPI is most powerful when combined with CPI and labor data.
PPI’s Role Within the Broader Economic Data Cycle
Producer Price Index acts as an early warning signal for broader inflation and economic shifts.
- PPI often leads changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Rising production costs impact employment trends seen in Non-Farm Payrolls
- Persistent cost pressures eventually slow output measured by GDP growth
Return to the macro hub for full context: US Economic Indicators Overview.
See how it fits into the macro picture: US economic indicators explained.
