Latest Posts

Latest Posts

Yellen says outflows from banking system have stabilized but what about within the system?

Deposit outflows from the banking system have stabilized. Things have been calm but monitoring carefully Bank lending stan…

Apr 15, 2023

S&P 500 technical analysis: Understanding the recent sell-off and forecasting future price

In this video, I look at the recent S&P 500 technical analysis and provide a price forecast based on the findings (spoil…

Apr 15, 2023

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 14 Apr:Feds Waller/U of Michigan inflation send USD higher

Major US stock indices close lower but recover about half of the day declines Gold tumbles and falls back below $2000, but…

Apr 14, 2023

Major US stock indices close lower but recover about half of the day declines

The major US stock indices are closing the day lower but recovered nicely off of session lows. The final numbers are showin…

Apr 14, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0993; (P) 1.1031; (R1) 1.1084; More… A temporary top is formed at 1.1075 in EUR/USD with current retrea…

Apr 14, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.94; (P) 132.66; (R1) 133.31; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment as sideway…

Apr 14, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2489; (P) 1.2513; (R1) 1.2547; More… A temporary top is formed at 1.2545 with current retreat and intra…

Apr 14, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0993; (P) 1.1031; (R1) 1.1084; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Up …

Apr 14, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2489; (P) 1.2513; (R1) 1.2547; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Curr…

Apr 14, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.94; (P) 132.66; (R1) 133.31; More… No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as range trading continues. Intrada…

Apr 14, 2023

NZ finmin Robertson says New Zealand might have a recession, a shallow one

New Zealand Finance Minister Grant Robertson spoke in an interview with CNBC: many economists are expecting a recession in…

Apr 13, 2023

ICYMI - ECB's Nagel said core inflation is very high, another rate hike coming in May

Bundesbank head, and thus a key member of the European Central Bank Governing Council, Joakim Nagel spoke with reporters on …

Apr 13, 2023

New Zealand data - BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI for March 48.1 (prior 52)

New Zealand data, the BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) long-run average is around 53. March drops …

Apr 13, 2023

Bank of Korea Governor says not worried about a specific USD/KRW (won) rate

Bank of Korea Governor Rhee is speaking on Bloomberg TV. not worried about a specific USD/KRW (won) rate wanted to give a…

Apr 13, 2023

ICYMI - OPEC forecasts higher oil demand this year - implication is of a large shortfall

Justin had the news on this Thursday: OPEC leaves demand forecast unchanged but flags downside risks to summer outlook T…

Apr 13, 2023

S&P 500 Soars as Falling Inflation Boosts Fed Pause Hopes, Bank Earnings in Focus

The S&P 500 rallied and closed at its best level since mid-February, boosted by weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data…

Apr 13, 2023

Economic calendar in Asia 14 April 2023 - Singapore's central bank statement

Data from New Zealand and Singapore and thats about it. Neither of the NZ data points are likely to move the New Zealand do…

Apr 13, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0935; (P) 1.0968; (R1) 1.1024; More… EUR/USD’s break of 1.1032 resistance indicate resumption of whole …

Apr 13, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0935; (P) 1.0968; (R1) 1.1024; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside with focus now on 1…

Apr 13, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2424; (P) 1.2459; (R1) 1.2520; More… Immediate focus is now back on 1.2524 resistance as GBP/USD’s rebo…

Apr 13, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.58; (P) 133.31; (R1) 133.88; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for the moment. On the upsi…

Apr 13, 2023

ICYMI - RBA Dep Gov Bullock spoke Wednesday - says April pause not driven by bank stress

Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Michele Bullock spoke yesterday. The main message of note from her was that the R…

Apr 13, 2023

North Korea has launched another ballistic missile

South Korean media (Yonhap) and Japanese Coast Guard both with the info. Missile launch towards the East Sea / Sea of Japan…

Apr 12, 2023

White House Brainard is seeing some signs of pulling back on credit - could help the Fed

Lael Brainard is director of the National Economic Council, spoke after the US CPI report: Banks have shown some signs of …

Apr 12, 2023

Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 13 April 2023

Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive traders wou…

Apr 12, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.18; (P) 133.50; (R1) 134.01; More… With break of 132.92 minor support, intraday bias in USD/JPY turne…

Apr 12, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2385; (P) 1.2420; (R1) 1.2461; More… GBP/USD is still bounded in sideway consolidation from 1.2425. Int…

Apr 12, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0868; (P) 1.0898; (R1) 1.0943; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD is back on the upside as rise from 1.0525…

Apr 12, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2385; (P) 1.2420; (R1) 1.2461; More… GBP/USD is still extending the consolidation pattern from 1.2524 a…

Apr 12, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0868; (P) 1.0898; (R1) 1.0943; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral as consolidation from 1.097…

Apr 12, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.18; (P) 133.50; (R1) 134.01; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the upside as rebound from 129…

Apr 12, 2023

Lower house of Swiss parliament votes to reject the CHF109bn Credit Suisse rescue package

Swiss Lower House has voted to retrospectively reject the 109bn CHF rescue package for CS. On Tuesday the upper house app…

Apr 11, 2023

US CPI previews, BoA and JP Morgan both looking for strong core price pressures

Earlier preview is here: Goldman Sachs US CPI preview - wary of a scenario where S&P 500 will collapse at least 2% A…

Apr 11, 2023

Trade ideas thread - Wednesday, 12 April 2023

Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts , views, ForexLive traders wo…

Apr 11, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.33; (P) 133.10; (R1) 134.37; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral with focus on 133.74 resist…

Apr 11, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2338; (P) 1.2390; (R1) 1.2436; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidation pattern …

Apr 11, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0823; (P) 1.0870; (R1) 1.0908; More… EUR/USD recovers today but stays inside range below 1.0972. Intrad…

Apr 11, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0823; (P) 1.0870; (R1) 1.0908; More… EUR/USD is staying in consolidation below 1.0972 and intraday bias…

Apr 11, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.33; (P) 133.10; (R1) 134.37; More… Focus stays on 133.74 resistance in USD/JPY. Firm break there will…

Apr 11, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2338; (P) 1.2390; (R1) 1.2436; More… GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.2524 and intraday bias …

Apr 11, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2386; (P) 1.2421; (R1) 1.2452; More… GBP/USD’s retreat from 1.2524 extends lower today but stays well a…

Apr 10, 2023

Forexlive Asia-pacific FX news wrap: Yen slumps as we await Ueda's debut

New Bank of Japan Governor Ueda to hold inaugural press conference at 1015 GMT Australia, New Zealand and Hong Kong market…

Apr 10, 2023

Gold sinks through $2000 as a big week begins

It's inflation week in the United States and that means gold will be a major focus. So far, it's off to a bad start …

Apr 10, 2023

US Dollar May Keep Weighing on the Chinese Yuan if Exports Soften

An anticipated weakening in Chinese exports for the second quarter y/y could keep the US Dollar pressuring the Yuan. USD/CNH…

Apr 10, 2023

Australia, New Zealand and Hong Kong markets are closed today

Reminder: Today is Easter Monday and that will mean a glacial start to the week. The Easter Monday holiday is celebrated in…

Apr 10, 2023

USD/JPY runs higher as yields jump.More talk on the US unemployment rate

USD/JPY has extended today's gain to 30 pips and 132.43. USD/JPY initially opened lower but is now reacting to higher U…

Apr 10, 2023

Volatility May See Range Breaks across Markets but Trends Might be Short-Lived

Going into the second quarter, the macro environment for financial markets is characterized by stubbornly high inflation and…

Apr 10, 2023

Risk FX starts the new week soft but then rebounds

The late-Friday news that US regional bank First Republic was cutting its preferred dividend sparked some worry and many mar…

Apr 10, 2023

Markets in the Second Quarter: S&P 500, US Dollar, Gold, Crude Oil, Euro, Recession Woes

To some, how markets performed in the first quarter might have come as a surprise. But, is price action deviating away from …

Apr 9, 2023

US Dollar Q2 Fundamental Forecast: USD Weakness to Make Headway as Fed Abandons Hawkish Pledge

The U.S. dollar is likely to have a challenging second quarter as the Fed’s tightening campaign comes to an end and markets …

Apr 9, 2023

Oil Fundamental Forecast: WTI to Head Lower in Q2 as Fundamentals Weaken

OPEC forecasts a drop in global oil demand in Q2 as the Biden administration backtracks on SPR refills, effectively removing…

Apr 9, 2023

Euro Q2 Technical Forecast: EUR/USD Presents Attractive Price Action for Now

Despite retaining a positive bias in early 2023, EUR/USD has lacked strong bullish conviction. The outlook, however, could c…

Apr 8, 2023

Newsquawk week ahead: Highlights include US CPI, Retail Sales, FOMC Minutes, BoC

Week Ahead April 10-14th MON: Easter Monday - US Markets Open, Japanese Trade Balance (Feb), EZ Sentix Index (Apr). TUE: …

Apr 8, 2023

Japanese Yen Q2 2023 Fundamental Forecast: Safe Haven Appeal to Keep Yen Supported

The Yen looks set to benefit from its safe-haven appeal, while the incoming BoJ Governor Ueda is likely to keep policy uncha…

Apr 8, 2023

Bullish S&P 500 e-mini futures: Technical analysis reveals 4170+ price forecast.

S&P 500 e-mini futures technical anaysis video and price forecast In the above video, I will discuss the recent bullish…

Apr 8, 2023

British Pound Q2 2023 Technical Forecast: GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

Are there any attractive Q2 set-ups against Sterling? Two currencies spring to mind. from DailyFX - Market News https://if…

Apr 8, 2023

April's stock earnings to watch: Stocks near 50-Day lows show potential upside

Interesting stocks reporting quarterly earnings in April 2023 As quarterly earnings season kicks off in April, several well…

Apr 8, 2023

Gold Q2 2023 Technical Forecast: Uncertainty Lies Ahead for XAU/USD

Spot gold looks to the upside at the start of Q2 2023 from a technical perspective as XAU/USD eyes the $2000 resistance hand…

Apr 7, 2023

Waiting on the non-farm payrolls

I posted last month how the US non-farm payrolls had come in above estimates for 10 straight months previously and coming i…

Apr 7, 2023

BOJ's Kuroda: Japan has made steady progress towards achieving inflation target

There is a broadening trend where rising inflation is reflected in wages Job market tightening is laying the groundwork fo…

Apr 7, 2023

SPX technical analysis: I'm bullish with a 4200 target

SPX technical analysis video highlights Bull Flag Formation on the daily timeframe: The S&P 500 Index exhibits a poten…

Apr 7, 2023

Here is why we are wary about chasing NZD rallies post-RBNZ - ING

ING Research adopts a cautious bias on NZD, despite the RBNZ's surprise 50bps hike this week. NZD/USD jumped more than …

Apr 7, 2023

Australian Dollar Drops as Currency Markets Await US NFPs, Will AUD/USD Keep Going?

The Australian Dollar fell as US jobless claims data briefly jittered markets ahead of the highly anticipated non-farm payro…

Apr 7, 2023

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 6 Apr: Weekly claims data higher after seasonals adjusted

NASDAQ and S&P snaps two day losing streak How has the stocks reacted in past when employment was released on Good Fri…

Apr 6, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.70; (P) 131.27; (R1) 131.91; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crosse…

Apr 6, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2425; (P) 1.2469; (R1) 1.2506; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidations below …

Apr 6, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0875; (P) 1.0923; (R1) 1.0954; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidation below 1…

Apr 6, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0875; (P) 1.0923; (R1) 1.0954; More… A temporary top was formed at 1.0972 and intraday bias in EUR/USD …

Apr 6, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2425; (P) 1.2469; (R1) 1.2506; More… A temporary top is formed at 1.2524 and intraday bias in GBP/USD i…

Apr 6, 2023

China stimulus - Local govt bond issuance +15.6% in Q1 2023, infrastructure projects.

China state-controlled media with the report( Yicai Global, the English-language news service of Yicai Media Group, the fina…

Apr 6, 2023

Mainland China retaliating against Taiwan - conducting "inspections" in the Taiwan Strait

China’s Maritime Safety Administration plans to conduct on-board inspections of container ships operating between Pingtan an…

Apr 6, 2023

Nasdaq 100 Dips as Soft ISM Services Data Fuels Economic Woes, Will Support Hold?

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 underperformed on Wednesday as soft US ISM Services data fueled economic woes. Will key support ho…

Apr 5, 2023

Former BOJ official says Yield Curve Control could be ended this month

Before I begin, thanks and h/t to JC in the comments on this post. - Overnight from Bloomberg ( gated ), comments reported…

Apr 5, 2023

Reserve Bank of New Zealand recap - look set for a +25bp rate hike in May

BNZ's take on the larger-than-expected +50bp cash rate target hike from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand: Following the…

Apr 5, 2023

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 5 Apr: Weaker US data starts to pile on

Oil trades at a standstill as tighter inventories compete with negative sentiment The message from the bond market: The Fe…

Apr 5, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.11; (P) 132.14; (R1) 132.76; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. R…

Apr 5, 2023

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