Latest Posts

Latest Posts

RBNZ sees no immediate need to request reinstatement of USD swap line (expired in 2023)

<p>Reserve Bank of New Zealand:</p><ul><li>sees no immediate need to request reinstatement of USD sw…

Mar 21, 2023

Dow Jones, S&P 500 Gain as Bank Sector Volatility Cools Ahead of the Fed

The Dow Jones and S&P 500 gained as bank sector volatility cooled, causing traders to firm Fed rate hike bets for Wednes…

Mar 20, 2023

Australia weekly consumer confidence stumbling along at deeply pessimistic, ugly levels

<p>ANZ-Roy Morgan Australia Consumer Confidence data, a weekly survey.</p><p>Comes in at 76.5</p><…

Mar 20, 2023

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 20 Mar: GBPUSD trades to the highest level since early Feb

<ul><li><a href="https://ift.tt/oqn3Asf indices close higher. Recovers from early declines</a><…

Mar 20, 2023

Economic calendar in Asia - Tuesday, 21 March 2023 - RBA minutes

<p>All of the data releases listed in our calendar, below, are for New Zealand. The RBA minutes are, of course, from A…

Mar 20, 2023

Stock indices close higher. Recovers from early declines

<p>Major US stock <a href="https://ift.tt/SWV9r4i" class="terms__main-term" id="eb50e0fb-8…

Mar 20, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0619; (P) 1.0652; (R1) 1.0698; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral first with focus on 1.0759 …

Mar 20, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2122; (P) 1.2162; (R1) 1.2221; More… GBP/USD’s rise from 1.1801 resumed today and intraday bias is back…

Mar 20, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.04; (P) 132.41; (R1) 133.26; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Su…

Mar 20, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0619; (P) 1.0652; (R1) 1.0698; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the up…

Mar 20, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2122; (P) 1.2162; (R1) 1.2221; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Outlook i…

Mar 20, 2023

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8701 – Reuters estimate

<p>PBOC CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.</p><p>Coming up is the People's Bank of China LPR s…

Mar 20, 2023

The quiet Fed is ready to speak

<p> While the expectations for the Fed was turned upside down, the Fed was in a quiet period, where not a word was sai…

Mar 20, 2023

Reserve Bank of Australia's Kent says Australian banks are undeniably strong

<p>Christopher Kent, Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) is speaking this morning in Sydn…

Mar 19, 2023

ICYMI - Fed, ECB, BOJ, BOE, BOC, SNB announce coordinated intervention

<p>Emergency liquidity announcements on a Sunday evening. </p><ul><li><a href="https://ift.t…

Mar 19, 2023

Early flows into non-USD FX in early Asia after the UBS-CS deal agreed to

<p>Earlier:</p><p class="article-slot__title title top"><a href="https://ift.tt/wy7JVuZ&…

Mar 19, 2023

Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, Gold, US Dollar, Crude Oil, Fed, Powell

The Dow Jones greatly underperformed the Nasdaq as traders flocked to tech stocks in anticipation of aggressive rate cuts fr…

Mar 19, 2023

Fed interest rate decision with technical analysis and forecast

<p>First things first, what's the deal with the rate hike? Well, investors are split on whether the Fed will imple…

Mar 19, 2023

North Korea fired what could be a ballistic missile - Japan Coast Guard

<p style="" class="text-align-justify">The Japan defence ministry adds that the missile flew to an…

Mar 19, 2023

Heads up Monday Asia trade, 3 central banks: Bank of Japan, People's Bank of China, RBA

<p>Its an active central bank calendar coming up on Monday, 20 March 2023 during the Asia session. </p><p>…

Mar 19, 2023

UBS Nears Acquisition of Credit Suisse Amid Efforts to Stabilize Banking Sector

<p>Sources indicate that UBS is close to finalizing a deal to acquire Credit Suisse, as Swiss and global authorities w…

Mar 18, 2023

US Dollar Outlook Hinges on Fed’s Next Steps. Will the FOMC Hike or Pause?

The US dollar’s trading bias will be defined by the Fed’s policy outlook next week. Traders should prepare for the possibili…

Mar 18, 2023

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s decline from 137.90 extended last week even though downside momentum diminished slightly. Further fall is expected…

Mar 18, 2023

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

GBP/USD rose to 1.2203 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Corrective pat…

Mar 18, 2023

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD dipped to 1.0515 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break o…

Mar 18, 2023

Moody's downgrades First Republic Bank to B2 from Baa1

<p style="" class="text-align-justify">According to Moody's, the downgrade and ratings reflect…

Mar 18, 2023

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 17 Mar: Rates move sharply lower sending the USD lower

<ul><li><a href="https://ift.tt/MJz2qmD stocks close lower on the day. Nasdaq rises 4.4% this week. Dow …

Mar 17, 2023

US stocks close lower on the day. Nasdaq rises 4.4% this week. Dow has a small decline.

<p>The major US indices are closing the day with declines across the board. The declines were led by the Dow but the S…

Mar 17, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0565; (P) 1.0600; (R1) 1.0649; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the upsi…

Mar 17, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2051; (P) 1.2089; (R1) 1.2151; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. C…

Mar 17, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.38; (P) 133.10; (R1) 134.49; More… No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as further decline is expected with…

Mar 17, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2051; (P) 1.2089; (R1) 1.2151; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Correctiv…

Mar 17, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.38; (P) 133.10; (R1) 134.49; More… USD/JPY is losing downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But fu…

Mar 17, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0565; (P) 1.0600; (R1) 1.0649; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. On the ups…

Mar 17, 2023

Fox: First Republic Bank headed for possible sale after institutional bailout

<p>Fox Business reports on Morgan Stanley and PNC Bank said to be keen on buying bail-out recipient First Republic Ban…

Mar 17, 2023

ECB hiked by 50bp, gave no hint on the future path. We'll get the first clue later today.

<p>The European Central Bank delivered the +50bp rate hike that was widely expected prior to the turmoil in banking. S…

Mar 16, 2023

ICYMI - ANZ expect crude oil above $100 / barrel in H2 of 2023 - tighter market ahead

<p>This from ANZ yesterday that I'm doing a bit of a catch-up on. Analysts at the bank update their forecasts, in …

Mar 16, 2023

Trade ideas thread - Friday, 17 March 2023

<p>Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive tr…

Mar 16, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.06; (P) 133.59; (R1) 134.95; More… USD/JPY’s fall from 137.90 resumed by breaking 132.27 and intraday…

Mar 16, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1983; (P) 1.2083; (R1) 1.2154; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged.…

Mar 16, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0475; (P) 1.0618; (R1) 1.0718; More… EUR/USD dips mildly after failing to break through 4 hour 55 EMA a…

Mar 16, 2023

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0475; (P) 1.0618; (R1) 1.0718; More… EUR/USD recovered after dipping to 1.0515 and intraday bias is tur…

Mar 16, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1983; (P) 1.2083; (R1) 1.2154; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. On the upsid…

Mar 16, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.06; (P) 133.59; (R1) 134.95; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point and some mo…

Mar 16, 2023

NZ finmin Robertson says despite the GDP data the New Zealand economy remains resilient

<p>New Zealand Finance Minister Grant Robertson comments, says that despite the GDP data the economy in NZ remains res…

Mar 16, 2023

ICYMI: Goldman Sachs cut US GDP forecast citing the banking crisis impact on credit growth

<p>Goldman Sachs issued the call Wednesday, US time. Outlets have picked it up.</p><p>"Small and medi…

Mar 15, 2023

Australian jobs report today: "One of the most closely watched ... in a long time"

<p>Coming up at 11.30am Sydney time, 8.30pm US Eastern time:</p><p>Snippet preview comments via:</p>…

Mar 15, 2023

Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 16 March 2023

<p>Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive tr…

Mar 15, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0691; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0762; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD is back on the downside with today’s shar…

Mar 15, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2130; (P) 1.2166; (R1) 1.2196; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral first as it’s still holding…

Mar 15, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.20; (P) 134.05; (R1) 135.06; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral first as it’s staying abo…

Mar 15, 2023

BOJ January meeting minutes says Board members expect Japan inflation to slow H2 FY 2023

<p>Bank of Japan January minutes,<a href="https://ift.tt/f3HEkLu" target="_blank" rel="nof…

Mar 15, 2023

SVB did not have a chief risk officer from April to December 2022 (Not the Onion)

<p>The Federal Reserve is looking into Silicon Valley Bank's lack of a chief risk officer for much of last year as…

Mar 15, 2023

Japanese Yen May Weaken if US Banking Sector Volatility Continues Calming

The Japanese Yen underperformed as US banking sector volatility cooled. Traders started pricing out aggressive Fed rate cut …

Mar 14, 2023

Pantheon still expects an ECB 50bp rate hike this week but not a foregone conclusion

<p>A research note from Pantheon Macro on what to expect from the European Central Bank later this week. </p><…

Mar 14, 2023

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 14 Mar: US CPI is not scary as trader adjust expectations

<ul><li><a href="https://ift.tt/2OVXZsT equities go for a ride. Heavy late buying saves the day</a>…

Mar 14, 2023

US equities go for a ride. Heavy late buying saves the day

<p>It was all about the regional bank stocks once again today. They soared in the pre-market but the market open turne…

Mar 14, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.02; (P) 133.53; (R1) 134.76; More… USD/JPY’s recovery from 132.27 extends higher today and with break…

Mar 14, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2087; (P) 1.2143; (R1) 1.2240; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside at this point. Rise f…

Mar 14, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0672; (P) 1.0710; (R1) 1.0771; More… EUR/USD’s rally from 1.0523 is still in progress and intraday bias…

Mar 14, 2023

Deutsche Bank like US dollar shorts, against EUR, JPY & now CHF

<p>Deutsche Bank says on the ructions in the US financial system since Friday:</p><ul><li>We believe…

Mar 14, 2023

Australian household spending data for February -0.1% m/m (prior -6.2%)

<p>Commonwealth Bank of Australia uisng its own data. </p><p>Household spending in February 2023 +4.5% y/y…

Mar 13, 2023

Bank analysts hugely split on what to expect from the FOMC; from +50bp to -25bp forecast

<p>I posted yesterday on the early responses as they came in:</p><ul><li><a href="https://if…

Mar 13, 2023

Nomura forecast a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate cut, 25bp, at March meeting

<p><a href="https://ift.tt/fCpR8Jh" target="_blank" rel="follow">ICYMI - Nomura<…

Mar 13, 2023

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1924; (P) 1.2019; (R1) 1.2129; More… GBP/USD’s rally from 1.1801 is still in progress and intraday bias…

Mar 13, 2023

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.80; (P) 135.39; (R1) 136.67; More… USD/JPY’s decline from 137.90 accelerates to as low as 132.74 so f…

Mar 13, 2023

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0575; (P) 1.0638; (R1) 1.0702; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the upside at this point. Correc…

Mar 13, 2023

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.80; (P) 135.39; (R1) 136.67; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. S…

Mar 13, 2023

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1924; (P) 1.2019; (R1) 1.2129; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on he upside for the moment. The …

Mar 13, 2023

Gold Price Weekly Outlook: XAU/USD Fate in the Hands of US CPI?

Gold prices get their shine back but will upcoming US CPI data limit upside? XAU/USD bulls look to hold onto 1850 as support…

Mar 12, 2023

SVB collapse: What's next?

<p style="" class="text-align-justify">48 hours is all it took for Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) to be…

Mar 12, 2023

Dow Jones technical analysis at ForexLive.com: Contrarian long oppportunity for traders?

<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most widely recognized stock market indices in the world. It …

Mar 12, 2023

Chairman Jordan of the Swiss National Bank says Bank doing all it can to curb inflation

<p>SNB Chair Thomas Jordan spoke with newspaper SonntagsBlick in an interview ahead of the Bank's upcoming policy …

Mar 12, 2023

China finance minister &, PBOC Governor to both stay on, an unexpected continuity signal

<p>On Sunday China's new Premier Li Qiang nominated Yi Gang to remain governor of the People's Bank of China (…

Mar 12, 2023

Fed in talks to create a fund to backstop deposits if more banks fail - report

<p>The FDIC and Federal Reserve is mulling a fund that would allow regulators to backstop more deposits at banks that …

Mar 12, 2023

US Dollar Forecast: Inflation Data May Revive Rally but SVB Meltdown Poses Risks

The US dollar has given up all the gains induced by Powell's hawkish comments due to a slump in yields following the SVB…

Mar 11, 2023

The case for the Federal Reserve and US Treasury not to intervene in the run on the banks

<p>Here is one side of the argument:</p><p>The reality is that the Fed and Treasury have a magic bullet he…

Mar 11, 2023

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s decline last week confirms short term topping at 137.90, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial b…

Mar 11, 2023

EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD edged lower to 1.0523 but rebounded strongly since then. Yet, it couldn’t take out 1.0693 resistance decisively. Ini…

Mar 11, 2023

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook

Despite dipping to 1.1801, GBP/USD quickly quickly rebounded after drawing support from 1.1840. Initial bias stays mildly on…

Mar 11, 2023

The Fed is now facing a real dilemma. Here's what will happen

<p>The point of hiking interest rates is to inflict economic pain. In a perfect world, it would be spread evenly and f…

Mar 11, 2023

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