Deutsche Bank like US dollar shorts, against EUR, JPY & now CHF
<p>Deutsche Bank says on the ructions in the US financial system since Friday:</p><ul><li>We believe…
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Australian household spending data for February -0.1% m/m (prior -6.2%)
<p>Commonwealth Bank of Australia uisng its own data. </p><p>Household spending in February 2023 +4.5% y/y…
Mar 13, 2023
Bank analysts hugely split on what to expect from the FOMC; from +50bp to -25bp forecast
<p>I posted yesterday on the early responses as they came in:</p><ul><li><a href="https://if…
Mar 13, 2023
Nomura forecast a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate cut, 25bp, at March meeting
<p><a href="https://ift.tt/fCpR8Jh" target="_blank" rel="follow">ICYMI - Nomura<…
Mar 13, 2023
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1924; (P) 1.2019; (R1) 1.2129; More… GBP/USD’s rally from 1.1801 is still in progress and intraday bias…
Mar 13, 2023
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.80; (P) 135.39; (R1) 136.67; More… USD/JPY’s decline from 137.90 accelerates to as low as 132.74 so f…
Mar 13, 2023
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0575; (P) 1.0638; (R1) 1.0702; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays on the upside at this point. Correc…
Mar 13, 2023
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.80; (P) 135.39; (R1) 136.67; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. S…
Mar 13, 2023
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1924; (P) 1.2019; (R1) 1.2129; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on he upside for the moment. The …
Mar 13, 2023
Gold Price Weekly Outlook: XAU/USD Fate in the Hands of US CPI?
Gold prices get their shine back but will upcoming US CPI data limit upside? XAU/USD bulls look to hold onto 1850 as support…
Mar 12, 2023
SVB collapse: What's next?
<p style="" class="text-align-justify">48 hours is all it took for Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) to be…
Mar 12, 2023
Dow Jones technical analysis at ForexLive.com: Contrarian long oppportunity for traders?
<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is one of the most widely recognized stock market indices in the world. It …
Mar 12, 2023
Chairman Jordan of the Swiss National Bank says Bank doing all it can to curb inflation
<p>SNB Chair Thomas Jordan spoke with newspaper SonntagsBlick in an interview ahead of the Bank's upcoming policy …
Mar 12, 2023
China finance minister &, PBOC Governor to both stay on, an unexpected continuity signal
<p>On Sunday China's new Premier Li Qiang nominated Yi Gang to remain governor of the People's Bank of China (…
Mar 12, 2023
Fed in talks to create a fund to backstop deposits if more banks fail - report
<p>The FDIC and Federal Reserve is mulling a fund that would allow regulators to backstop more deposits at banks that …
Mar 12, 2023
US Dollar Forecast: Inflation Data May Revive Rally but SVB Meltdown Poses Risks
The US dollar has given up all the gains induced by Powell's hawkish comments due to a slump in yields following the SVB…
Mar 11, 2023
The case for the Federal Reserve and US Treasury not to intervene in the run on the banks
<p>Here is one side of the argument:</p><p>The reality is that the Fed and Treasury have a magic bullet he…
Mar 11, 2023
USD/JPY Weekly Outlook
USD/JPY’s decline last week confirms short term topping at 137.90, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial b…
Mar 11, 2023
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook
EUR/USD edged lower to 1.0523 but rebounded strongly since then. Yet, it couldn’t take out 1.0693 resistance decisively. Ini…
Mar 11, 2023
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook
Despite dipping to 1.1801, GBP/USD quickly quickly rebounded after drawing support from 1.1840. Initial bias stays mildly on…
Mar 11, 2023
The Fed is now facing a real dilemma. Here's what will happen
<p>The point of hiking interest rates is to inflict economic pain. In a perfect world, it would be spread evenly and f…
Mar 11, 2023
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 10 Mar: SVB overshadows the jobs report
<ul><li><a href="https://ift.tt/SpbLzcB of a 50 bps hike on March 22 fall to 28%</a></li><…
Mar 10, 2023
US equity close: S&P 500 virtually erases the year-to-date gains
<p>US equities were hit hard today and the S&P 500 virtually erased its gains for the year in the second day o…
Mar 10, 2023
WTI crude oil futures settle at $76.68
<p>The price of WTI crude futures are settling at $76.68. That's up $0.96 or +1.27%</p><p>The low toda…
Mar 10, 2023
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1857; (P) 1.1898; (R1) 1.1964; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside at this point. Sust…
Mar 10, 2023
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.61; (P) 136.49; (R1) 137.04; More… USD/JPY’s break of 135.35 support indicates short term topping at …
Mar 10, 2023
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0550; (P) 1.0571; (R1) 1.0603; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first. Firm break of 1.06…
Mar 10, 2023
New York Fed data shows underlying inflation pressure acceleration, not slowing
<p>This is an interesting piece from Reuters on a New York Federal Reserve report on an in-house inflation model. This…
Mar 10, 2023
One of these markets is going to be wrong about what happens tomorrow
<p>What a mess in markets today.</p><p>Normally, falling yields would be good news for risk trades and bad…
Mar 9, 2023
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0521; (P) 1.0548; (R1) 1.0570; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current recovery. …
Mar 9, 2023
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.59; (P) 137.25; (R1) 138.02; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 1…
Mar 9, 2023
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1813; (P) 1.1836; (R1) 1.1868; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neural first. Firm break of 1.191…
Mar 9, 2023
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9668 – Reuters estimate
<p>PBOC CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.</p> This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexl…
Mar 9, 2023
Crypto-friendly bank Silvergate is shutting down operations, liquidating bank
<p>News from late Wednesday afternoon US time a couple of hours ago. </p><p>Its been a saga this ...</p…
Mar 9, 2023
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Perk Up but Risk Appetite Remains Subdued ahead of NFP Data
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 advanced modestly on Wednesday, but gains were capped by subdued sentiment following Powell&#…
Mar 8, 2023
Trade ideas thread - Thursday, 9 March 2023
<p>Good morning, afternoon and evening all. Any charts, technical analysis, trade ideas, thoughts, views, ForexLive tr…
Mar 8, 2023
Major US indices closing with mixed results. NASDAQ and higher.
<p>The major US indices are closing with mixed results:</p><ul><li>Dow Industrial Average was the we…
Mar 8, 2023
USDJPY trades between 200 day MA above and 100 day MA below (and 100/200 hour MAs)
<p>As we head toward the end of day, the MA technicals for the USDJPY are painting the risk and bias defining levels f…
Mar 8, 2023
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1744; (P) 1.1905; (R1) 1.1987; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment. C…
Mar 8, 2023
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0498; (P) 1.0597; (R1) 1.0647; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside as fall from 1.10…
Mar 8, 2023
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.07; (P) 136.63; (R1) 137.72; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Curren…
Mar 8, 2023
US yield curve inversion, the recession indicator, is its deepest in 40+ years
<p>Powell's return to more hawkish triggered bond marekt moves:</p><ul><li>the 2 year UST yield …
Mar 8, 2023
Crypto-focused bank Silvergate in talks with FDIC about how to keep the firm in business
<p>You'll recall the dour news for the firm that saw its stock price collapse:</p><p><a href="…
Mar 7, 2023
While the focus was on Powell Tuesday there were also remarks from the ECB and SNB
<p>A couple of posts from Tuesday ICYMI while Powell was hogging the spotlight:</p><p><a href="htt…
Mar 7, 2023
RBA Lowe says if the data suggest a pause prior to the next meeting, will do that
<p>Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe earlier:</p><ul><li><a href="https://ift.tt/QTMtC…
Mar 7, 2023
BlackRock says Federal Reserve could hike rates to 6%, hold for an extended time there
<p>A note from Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income at BlackRock, the world’s largest asset ma…
Mar 7, 2023
Oil - private survey of inventory shows headline draw vs small build expected
<p>This is from the privately surveyed oil stock data ahead of official government data tomorrow morning out of the US…
Mar 7, 2023
Why was the market so oblivious about signs that Powell would be hawkish?
<p>What's annoying about this rout in risk assets is that it didn't come as a shock.</p><p>Last we…
Mar 7, 2023
USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.47; (P) 135.83; (R1) 136.29; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged.…
Mar 7, 2023
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0638; (P) 1.0667; (R1) 1.0711; More… At this point, the favored case is still that correction from 1.10…
Mar 7, 2023
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1996; (P) 1.2023; (R1) 1.2052; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. On the downs…
Mar 7, 2023
U.S. energy envoy Hochstein says Russian oil price caps are working well
<p>U.S. Energy Envoy Amos Hochstein spoke on the sidelines of an energy conference, CERAWeek, in Houston.</p><…
Mar 7, 2023
AUDUSD levels in play through rate decision
<p>The AUDUSD is trading below the 100 day /100 hour MA going into the rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealan…
Mar 6, 2023
Economic calendar in Asia - Tuesday, 7 March 2023 - China trade data and RBA decision
<p>There is no time listed for the Chinese trade data coming today. This data tends to hit sometime after 0200 GMT (10…
Mar 6, 2023
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.45; (P) 136.12; (R1) 136.50; More… Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. On the dow…
Mar 6, 2023
EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0602; (P) 1.0621; (R1) 1.0652; More… Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral at this point. Fall from 1.…
Mar 6, 2023
GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1975; (P) 1.2012; (R1) 1.2082; More… Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral at this point. On the downs…
Mar 6, 2023
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8932 – Reuters estimate
<p>PBOC CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.</p><p>Earlier from China:</p><ul><li>…
Mar 6, 2023
Misleading app uses ForexLive brand to target traders - be on guard for your funds
<p>A heads up folks, be on alert for this latest batch of scammers:</p><ul><li>Deceptive website and…
Mar 6, 2023
ECB Lagarde on higher rates: "In the short term, core inflation is going to be high,"
<p>European Central Bank President Lagarde spoke over the weekend, with Spanish media group Vocento.</p><ul&g…
Mar 5, 2023
Mobius says China's government is preventing him from taking capital out of China
<p>Mark Mobius is an emerging markets fund manager. He founded Mobius Capital Partners.</p><p>Mobius spoke…
Mar 5, 2023
Weekend - China sets its 2023 GDP target "around 5%"
<p>Premier Li Keqiang's government work report was released on Sunday at the opening of the National People's …
Mar 5, 2023
Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, S&P 500, US Dollar, Powell, NFPs, RBA, BoC, BoJ
The Dow Jones and S&P 500 rallied as the US Dollar fell last week. Ahead, the RBA, BoC and BoJ set rates. Markets also a…
Mar 5, 2023
Week Ahead: Fed's Powell, US NFP; China Two Sessions, CPI; RBA, BoC, BoJ
<ul><li>MON: Swiss CPI (Feb), EZ Sentix Index (Mar), EZ Retail Sales (Jan), South Korean GDP Revised (Q4).</l…
Mar 5, 2023
Fed's Daly: If next inflation data hot, would adjust rate path higher and longer
<p>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly is out with some candid comments today. She's plugged into the core of th…
Mar 5, 2023
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